Tanzania vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1980 |
SDN
1 - 0
TAN
60%
19%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
TAN
1 - 0
MWI
53%
21%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1980 |
TAN
1 - 1
SOM
69%
16%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 1
TAN
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1980 |
SDN
0 - 1
TAN
63%
18%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 1
TAN
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
1 - 1
NGA
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
KWT
3 - 1
NGA
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1980 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |