Tanzania vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
TAN
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
COD
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
TAN
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 0
TAN
85%
12%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 0
MNG
75%
17%
9%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 1
AFG
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AFG
1 - 0
MNG
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 0
LBN
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | +1 |