Tanzania vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
TAN
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TAN
2 - 4
CIV
11%
21%
68%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 2
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BDI
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |