Tanzania vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
72.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
TAN
2 - 3
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
TAN
0 - 1
CIV
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
1 - 2
RWA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 1
TAN
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 3
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
99 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
IRL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
OMA
0 - 2
BRA
11%
20%
70%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
60%
22%
18%
|
100 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |