Tanzania vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZIM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAN
0 - 3
BDI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
TAN
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TAN
2 - 4
CIV
11%
21%
68%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
MWI
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
MWI
2 - 3
ANG
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |