Tanzania vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 3
UGA
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RWA
2 - 0
TAN
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LSO
2 - 0
TAN
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |