Tanzania vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 1
TAN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
TAN
3 - 0
MNG
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
TAN
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 1
ETH
11%
16%
72%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 0
ETH
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 2
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 3
BFA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |