Tanabi vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
VOC
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AND
4 - 1
TAN
18%
19%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
2 - 1
AME
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AEA
2 - 1
TAN
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
1 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
TUP
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
2 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |