Tanabi vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
73.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
TAN
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TAN
3 - 0
TUP
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
VOC
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AND
4 - 1
TAN
18%
19%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
TUP
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |