Tanabi vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 2
TAN
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 1
TAN
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAN
4 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
PEN
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
TAN
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TUP
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
TAN
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |