Tamworth vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 0
TAM
86%
11%
4%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
ALF
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALF
5 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 3
LUT
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 0
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BHA
1 - 1
WRE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
WRE
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 1
GAT
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 2
HIN
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |