FA Trophy 1/64
Global 2-5
Tamworth vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
TAM
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 2
SAL
25%
25%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAM
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 3
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MIC
1 - 3
WAR
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 2
WAR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 1
ASH
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 1
SUT
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAM
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |