FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-1
Tamworth vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 2
STA
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
TAM
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 1
TAM
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
TAM
1 - 1
ALT
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
TAM
1 - 1
BUR
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 0
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
TAM
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
STO
2 - 2
IPS
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 1
STO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
LEE
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |