Tamworth vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 0
TAM
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 2
WAR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
TAM
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 2
SAL
25%
25%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
BLY
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
4 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CUR
2 - 2
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |