Tamworth vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
YOR
1 - 2
TAM
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 3
CRA
16%
26%
58%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 1
TAM
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 1
WRE
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 2
TAM
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 4
CRA
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
6 - 0
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 2
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
EAS
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |