Tamworth vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 1
SPE
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
TAM
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 1
STO
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
TAM
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
KID
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
KID
2 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KID
1 - 1
BOS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
KID
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KID
2 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |