FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-2
Tamworth vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 2
KET
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 2
TAM
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
HAY
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BLY
3 - 3
HIN
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
HIN
0 - 0
HYD
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 2
TAM
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GAI
2 - 1
HIN
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |