Tamworth vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
STO
2 - 1
TAM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 4
KID
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 0
GAI
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
TAM
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 0
SAL
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
KID
1 - 0
TOW
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 1
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 3
FYL
28%
23%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 3
TOW
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |