Tamworth vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
STO
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 2
TAM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
TAM
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 0
GLO
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOW
5 - 0
UNM
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
TOW
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
TOW
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
STO
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |