Tamworth vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 1
TAM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 4
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
NUN
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 2
TAM
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
NUN
2 - 1
TAM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 3
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAT
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
GAT
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
GAT
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |