Tamworth vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HED
2 - 1
TAM
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
CHO
41%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
BOS
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
TAM
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
TAM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 3
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
FYL
24%
23%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
FYL
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
STO
0 - 4
FYL
27%
24%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |