Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
HUR
12%
17%
71%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
TAM
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
YEO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 2
WOK
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
4 - 2
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EBB
2 - 2
WEA
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
EBB
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YOR
4 - 0
EBB
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 0
EBB
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EBB
2 - 2
ROC
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |