Tamworth vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 0
RUS
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BIG
2 - 1
TAM
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
TAM
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 2
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
BOS
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 2
DAR
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 2
DAR
53%
22%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 3
DAR
25%
23%
51%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
0 - 2
YOR
21%
23%
55%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |