Tamworth vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
FYL
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
TAM
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 2
TAM
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
4 - 0
TAM
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 4
DAR
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
5 - 1
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
5 - 2
GAI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
DAR
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 1
STA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |