Tamworth vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 0
EBB
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAM
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WRE
4 - 2
TAM
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 0
DAR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 0
MAN
50%
23%
26%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
RUS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
DAR
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |