Tamworth vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 1
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BLY
4 - 2
TAM
69%
17%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
1 - 2
TAM
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 1
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 4
ASV
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 0
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUR
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STO
3 - 0
CUR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CUR
4 - 0
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
OLD
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |