Tamworth vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
TAM
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAM
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
STA
3 - 5
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HED
0 - 3
CUR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 0
STA
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 1
CUR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |