Tamworth vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TAM
0 - 2
FLE
28%
26%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 2
RUS
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GAT
3 - 1
TAM
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
TAM
2 - 2
BAR
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
TAM
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 2
STF
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 2
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 3
GUL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |