Tamworth vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 5
TAM
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
5 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
4 - 0
TAM
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 0
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
STA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHO
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
BOS
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |