Tamworth vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
4 - 0
TAM
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 0
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
WOR
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
TAM
34%
26%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 3
TOW
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
NUN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 4
CUR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |