Tamworth vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 3
TAM
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 1
TAM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
STI
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
TAM
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 1
TAM
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
RED
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STO
3 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
6 - 1
STN
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |