Tamworth vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
WOK
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
EBB
1 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
TAM
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
TAM
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
CHE
24%
25%
52%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
WYC
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
GUL
3 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |