Tamworth vs Alvechurch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STO
4 - 0
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 4
RUS
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
TAM
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
COA
4 - 0
TAM
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 2
PET
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 2
NUN
52%
22%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
ALV
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 2
RUS
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALV
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 3
NEE
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |