Tamworth vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
HAL
5 - 0
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TAM
3 - 0
WOR
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COR
2 - 6
TAM
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 0
GAI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LOW
1 - 0
ALF
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NUN
2 - 0
ALF
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
BOS
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |