Tamworth vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HAL
2 - 0
TAM
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
3 - 4
CHE
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
WEL
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 2
SAL
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAM
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 3
LIN
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
DAR
1 - 1
ALD
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HYD
2 - 2
ALD
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 2
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
HAV
4 - 1
ALD
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |