Liga Premier México Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Tampico Madero vs Deportiva Venados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+183%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampico Madero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 1
IPC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
IPC
0 - 1
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
DEV
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
TAM
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 0
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
DEV
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 2
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |