UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 8-1
Tampere United vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
FFJ
1 - 2
TAM
27%
30%
44%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 0
HAK
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
TAM
2 - 2
IFK
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
VAA
1 - 0
TAM
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 0
KOO
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
RHY
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 6
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |