Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
EDM
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 0
TAM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
MIN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 4
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 3
MIN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |