Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 3
TAM
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 2
PIT
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
LOU
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
HAA
0 - 2
TAM
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 4
MEM
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
BLE
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BLE
2 - 0
MBF
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 2
BLE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BLE
0 - 2
MIA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BLE
1 - 1
MEM
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |