Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
TAM
4 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
RBN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
TAM
4 - 1
RBN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SJE
1 - 1
TAM
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
TAM
2 - 0
DCU
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
KCW
3 - 2
GAL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
KCW
2 - 2
SJE
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
KCW
0 - 0
SJE
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
KCW
1 - 5
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
KCW
2 - 2
RBN
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |