Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
TAM
2 - 0
GAL
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
CFS
0 - 0
TAM
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2000 |
DCU
2 - 2
TAM
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2000 |
TAM
3 - 0
DCU
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
TAM
0 - 2
RBN
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2000 |
COR
1 - 1
CFS
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
CFS
0 - 0
TAM
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
CFS
3 - 1
COC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2000 |
COR
2 - 1
CFS
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
SJE
1 - 1
CFS
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |