Tammeka vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
7º
6º
28
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
PAI
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 0
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 2
TAM
72%
17%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 3
FLO
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
TAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOM
37%
23%
39%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |