Tammeka vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
7º
6º
56
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 1
TAM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TGS
0 - 24
TAM
4%
9%
87%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 0
STJ
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |