Tammeka vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
7º
6º
14
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 72 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TGS
0 - 24
TAM
4%
9%
87%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
FLO
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 0
TAM
51%
23%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
LEV
27%
24%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
9 - 0
KJL
91%
7%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
KAL
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOM
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |