Tamai vs Cjarlins Muzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 1
CHI
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ACE
0 - 0
TAM
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 1
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
TAM
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
ABA
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CJA
3 - 0
SAN
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
CJA
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CJA
1 - 3
CNO
81%
12%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 2
CJA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CJA
1 - 1
ROV
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |