Tallinna Kalev vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
35
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
KAL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 2
TAL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 2
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAI
13%
24%
64%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 3
TRA
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |