Tallinna Kalev vs Tammeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
6º
4º
27
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 4
TAL
31%
23%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 3
KUR
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 2
TAL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
HJP
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
TAM
54%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
LEV
12%
23%
65%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
3 - 0
TAM
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
TAM
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 3
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |