Tallinna Kalev vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
56
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
4 - 0
TAL
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 3
FLO
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
TAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOM
37%
23%
39%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 2
PAI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 2
KAL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
PAI
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |