Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
61
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
TAL
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 2
BAN
37%
23%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
KUR
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAL
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
11 - 1
ESV
83%
11%
5%
|
77 | 18 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
KAL
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
KAL
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |