Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
70
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
33%
24%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
TAL
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 3
LIE
29%
22%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
6 - 0
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FTK
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
LEV
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |